empty
05.01.2024 11:44 AM
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for January 5, 2024

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Navigating Market Uncertainty

Top Insights:

  1. Short-term Bearish Reversal: The GBP/USD pair shows signs of a bearish reversal, marked by a Bearish Engulfing pattern.
  2. Bullish Long-Term Outlook: Despite short-term fluctuations, long-term indicators suggest a bullish trend.
  3. Critical Levels to Monitor: Key support and resistance levels offer insights into potential market movements.

Global Market Context

The Asia-Pacific indices show mixed trends, with China's indices down by about 0.50-0.60% and Japan's Nikkei 225 slightly up by 0.40%. Forex markets remain calm, with most currency pairs showing minimal changes. The USD strengthens, while the JPY weakens, as seen in the USDJPY pair's rise.

This image is no longer relevant

Political Tensions Affecting Markets

Recent events in North Korea, involving artillery shells fired into the sea, add to regional tensions. Such geopolitical factors can influence currency markets, impacting pairs like GBP/USD.

Technical Analysis: A Closer Look

  • Bearish Engulfing Pattern: The GBP/USD pair shows this pattern at the top of its recent move, suggesting a potential downward trend.
  • Support and Resistance: Intraday support lies at 1.2651 and 1.2608, with resistance at 1.2670 and 1.2699.
  • Momentum Analysis: The H4 chart shows weak, negative momentum. A breakout above 1.2699 could shift the outlook back to bullish.

This image is no longer relevant

Indicator Insights

  • Bullish Engulfing Pattern: This pattern, typically a bullish signal, suggests a reversal from a downtrend.
  • Moving Averages: The near overlap of the 50-period DEMA and 100-period EMA, with the DEMA slightly above, is a bullish indicator.
  • RSI Analysis: The RSI at 46.58 indicates a neutral market, without strong buying or selling pressure.

Market Sentiment and Indicator Signals

  • H1 Intraday Indicators: Most indicators show a sell signal, with a few neutral, and one indicating a buy.
  • Sentiment Scoreboard: General sentiment is bullish, with a majority favoring the bulls over the last week and recent days.

Weekly Pivot Points

  • Key Levels: Resistance at WR3 (1.28261) and support at WS3 (1.26053).
  • Trading Focus: Monitoring these levels can provide insights for potential trend reversals or continuations.

Long-Term Trading Perspective

  • Bullish Candlestick Pattern: A decisive Bullish Engulfing pattern on the weekly chart suggests strong bullish sentiment.
  • Market Above WMAs: Trading above the 50 and 100 WMAs underlines the bullish trend, targeting the 2023 high at 1.3141.
  • Critical Support: A sustained break below 1.1802 could signal a major bearish movement.

This image is no longer relevant

Conclusion: A Balanced Approach

For bullish traders, maintaining positions above key support levels aligns with the long-term uptrend. However, bearish traders should watch for breaks below these levels. Always consider both technical and fundamental factors for a comprehensive approach to trading.

Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is currently holding on to its intraday losses. Overall positive sentiment in the stock markets is undermining demand for bullion. However, a combination of factors is preventing bears from

Irina Yanina 12:18 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 16, 2025

On Friday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below the 100.0% Fibonacci correction level at 1.1574. This did not happen without reason, which

Samir Klishi 12:02 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Forex forecast 16/06/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, Oil, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:30 2025-06-16 UTC+2

GBP/USD – June 16th: Bulls Hold the 1.3527 Level

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rebounded twice from the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3527 and rose toward the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3633. However, prior

Samir Klishi 10:27 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Daily Price Movement of USD/IDR Exotic Currency Pairs, Monday June 16, 2025.

With the appearance of the Bullish 123 pattern in the midst of the weakening conditions of this exotic currency pair, that has been confirmed by the movement of the USD/IDR

Arief Makmur 07:16 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Crude Oil Commodity Instrument, Monday June 16, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart of the Crude Oil commodity instrument, there is an appearance of Divergence between the #CL price movement and the Stochastic Oscillator indicator, indicating that

Arief Makmur 07:16 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for June 13-19, 2025: buy above 1.1500 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

Under the opposite scenario, if the euro falls below 1.1490, it is likely to reach the 200 EMA, which is located at 1.1340 and coincides with the bottom

Dimitrios Zappas 14:14 2025-06-13 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD for June 13-19, 2025: sell below 3,343 (21 SMA - 8/8 Murray)

Gold has left a gap at 3,282 and another around 3,181. So, if the price falls below the psychological level of 3,300, we could expect it to fall to cover

Dimitrios Zappas 14:12 2025-06-13 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 13, 2025

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement and consolidated above the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1574. However, during the night, a sharp reversal occurred in favor

Samir Klishi 11:52 2025-06-13 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on June 13, 2025

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday rebounded from the 1.3520 level, surged to the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620, bounced off it twice, and then fell back

Samir Klishi 11:49 2025-06-13 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.