empty
18.08.2023 04:23 PM
EUR/AUD: strong bullish momentum

This image is no longer relevant

The Australian dollar remains under pressure. It is weakening not only against the U.S. dollar but also against major currencies in popular cross pairs, particularly the EUR/AUD pair.

At the end of the month, fresh consumer inflation data will be released in Australia, and if it confirms a slowdown, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will likely pause interest rate hikes at its September meeting. If the interest rate is increased, it would likely be the last hike in the current cycle of tightening monetary policy by the RBA, which is expected to be a bearish factor for the Australian dollar.

This image is no longer relevant

The situation at the European Central Bank (ECB) is slightly different, with a different approach to monetary policy changes. Preliminary data shows that the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased to -0.1% in July (from +0.3% previously) and +5.3% year-on-year (from +5.5% the previous month). Nevertheless, unlike the RBA, the ECB does not plan to pause its interest rate hikes, which will support the euro, economists believe. The difference in approaches to monetary policy changes will likely contribute to further strengthening of the euro against the Australian dollar.

Next Tuesday, fresh business activity indicators will be published in Australia, and on Wednesday, in Germany and the Eurozone, which could give the EUR/AUD pair a new boost.

This image is no longer relevant

Since mid-August of the previous year, EUR/AUD has been rising and continues to maintain positive dynamics, trading in a bullish market above key support levels of 1.6100 (200 EMA on the daily chart) and 1.5770 (200 EMA, 144 EMA on the weekly chart). A break above the May 2020 and this week's high at 1.7063 would open the way for the pair to rise towards the upper boundary of the upward channel on the weekly chart and levels of 1.7200 and 1.7270.

The OsMA and Stochastic indicators on the daily and weekly charts are also on the buyers' side, with the Stochastic not leaving the overbought zone, indicating a strong bullish impulse.

An alternative scenario, if it occurs, would involve a break of the crucial short-term support level at 1.6836 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart) and a decline towards support levels of 1.6625 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart) and 1.6550 (50 EMA on the daily chart). A deeper correction is currently unlikely.

Support levels: 1.6958, 1.6863, 1.6625, 1.6600, 1.6550, 1.6230, 1.6100, 1.6020, 1.5770

Resistance levels: 1.7060, 1.7100, 1.7200, 1.7270, 1.7300

Jurij Tolin,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

GBP/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on May 30th (Morning Review)

In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3456 level and planned to make market entry decisions from there. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and see what happened

Miroslaw Bawulski 13:30 2025-05-30 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on May 30th (Morning Review)

In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.1336 level and planned to make market entry decisions from there. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and see what happened

Miroslaw Bawulski 13:27 2025-05-30 UTC+2

How to Trade the GBP/USD Pair on May 30? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Thursday's Trades 1H Chart of GBP/USD On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair showed movements similar to the EUR/USD pair but with lower volatility. The ascending trendline was breached

Paolo Greco 06:37 2025-05-30 UTC+2

How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on May 30? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Thursday's Trades 1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair started Thursday with a sharp collapse but spent the rest of the day trading with strong growth. Explaining

Paolo Greco 06:37 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for GBP/USD on May 30: The British Pound is as Calm as an Elephant

The GBP/USD currency pair showed lower volatility on Thursday than the EUR/USD pair, which is quite surprising. At the same time, the British pound recovered without much difficulty

Paolo Greco 03:51 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on May 30: The Market Fooled Everyone

The EUR/USD currency pair plunged sharply overnight on Thursday but posted a threefold stronger rally throughout the day. The overnight movement was triggered by a single event: the U.S. Court

Paolo Greco 03:51 2025-05-30 UTC+2

GBP/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on May 29th (Morning Trade Review)

In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3429 level and planned to base market entry decisions on it. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened

Miroslaw Bawulski 19:55 2025-05-29 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.