empty
02.07.2024 09:21 AM
EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Technical analysis on July 2

EUR/USD

This image is no longer relevant

Higher timeframes

Yesterday, the pair tested the resistance around 1.0767 (weekly and monthly Fibonacci Kijuns), but as a result, there was a long upper shadow. The bulls' weakness may lie in the fact that the bears could completely neutralize the bullish activity at the beginning of the week, manage to close the bullish gap formed at the opening level, and reclaim the support of the intraday short-term trend (1.0722). After this, the focus will shift to two bearish targets: the nearest low (1.0667) and the monthly support (1.0611). The bulls can prevent this scenario from unfolding by returning EUR/USD to the resistance area (1.0767) and have the price consolidate above this mark.

This image is no longer relevant

H4 – H1

Yesterday, the pair stopped rising by the final resistance of the classic Pivot levels. Under these conditions, the bulls still have the advantage, but the pair is in a deep correction, with the nearest support being the weekly long-term trend (1.0713). Breaking and reversing this trend could change the current balance of power. In order to continue the downward movement within the day, additional support levels are found at 1.0689 and 1.0657 (classic Pivot levels). If the bulls want to prepare in advance, they will need to restore their positions and work on the pair's upward movement during the day. To do so, the price must overcome the resistances of the classic Pivot levels (1.0746 - 1.0771 - 1.0803 - 1.0828).

***

GBP/USD

This image is no longer relevant

Higher timeframes

The pound, having cast a long upper shadow and reached the daily resistance (1.2706), returned below the weekly levels (1.2652-65) by the end of the day. In order to support the bearish bias, the pair needs to exit the current corrective zone and meet the nearest supports around 1.2608 – 1.2596 (the upper boundary of the daily cloud + the weekly medium-term trend). Meanwhile, the bulls need to take control of the weekly levels (1.2652-65), consolidate above them, and move away from their area of influence.

This image is no longer relevant

H4 – H1

The key levels on the lower timeframes are 1.2651 (weekly long-term trend) and 1.2662 (central Pivot level of the day), positioned near the most critical levels of the higher timeframes (1.2652-65). Therefore, all conclusions and expectations mentioned above have been confirmed on the lower timeframes. The bears must keep the GBP/USD below these levels. Increased bearish sentiment will progress throughout the day through the supports of the classic Pivot levels (1.2616 – 1.2585 – 1.2539). The bulls will gain an advantage if the pound breaks the key levels (1.2651-62) and firmly consolidates above them. To support the upward movement, the targets will be the resistances of the classic Pivot levels (1.2693 – 1.2739 – 1.2770).

***

The technical analysis of the situation uses:

Higher timeframes - Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52) + Fibonacci Kijun levels

Lower timeframes - H1 - Pivot Points (classic) + Moving Average 120 (weekly long-term trend)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 13, 2025

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement and consolidated above the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1574. However, during the night, a sharp reversal occurred in favor

Samir Klishi 11:52 2025-06-13 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on June 13, 2025

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday rebounded from the 1.3520 level, surged to the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620, bounced off it twice, and then fell back

Samir Klishi 11:49 2025-06-13 UTC+2

EUR/USD. June 12. A Setback for the Dollar

Good day, dear traders! On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement after rebounding from the support zone of 1.1374–1.1380. It successfully consolidated above the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level

Samir Klishi 10:15 2025-06-12 UTC+2

GBP/USD. June 12. British Economy Falters

Good day, dear traders! On the hourly chart, on Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair reversed in favor of the British pound and consolidated above the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3520

Samir Klishi 10:15 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Daily Price Movement Crude Oil Commodity Instrument, Thursday June 12, 2025.

If we look at the daily chart of the Crude Oil commodity instrument, there appears to be a Divergence between the price movement of #CL and the Stochastic Oscillator indicator

Arief Makmur 08:10 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Nasdaq 100 Index, Thursday June 12, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 index, there is a divergence between its price movement and the Stochastic Oscillator indicator, especially with the current confirmation of the price

Arief Makmur 08:10 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for June 12-19, 2025: sell below 1.1500 (21 SMA - 8/8 Murray)

If the euro price falls below 1.1500 in the coming hours, this could be seen as an opportunity to sell. Technically, it appears overbought on the H4 chart and could

Dimitrios Zappas 05:33 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for June 12-19, 2025: sell below $3,386 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

The XAU/USD trend remains bullish as long as the price consolidates above 3,331. Therefore, it would be prudent to buy gold as long as the price consolidates above 3,359, where

Dimitrios Zappas 05:32 2025-06-12 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for June 12, 2025

The U.S. inflation data released on Wednesday stirred the markets: the dollar index dropped by 0.47%, WTI oil surged by 5.54%, gold rose by 1.27%, and 5-year U.S. Treasury yields

Laurie Bailey 04:40 2025-06-12 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for June 12, 2025

On Wednesday, the British pound successfully avoided a decline below technical support levels, reversing upward from them. The price rebounded from the MACD indicator line on the daily chart, while

Laurie Bailey 04:40 2025-06-12 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.