empty
30.08.2024 12:01 PM
EUR/GBP: Overview and Analysis

This image is no longer relevant

The EUR/GBP pair is still struggling, continuing its losing streak.

This image is no longer relevant

There's a good chance that the EUR/GBP pair will keep dropping. The British pound is getting a boost from the Bank of England's firm stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer compared to the European Central Bank.

At the Jackson Hole symposium last week, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey pointed out that the knock-on effects of inflationary pressures might be less significant than previously thought. He also advised against rushing into further interest rate cuts. Earlier, on August 1, the Bank of England had already cut rates by 25 basis points, bringing them down to 5%. Meanwhile, money markets are expecting another 40 basis point cut by the end of this year.

In the UK, house prices rose by 2.4% year-on-year in August, up from July's 2.1%. This was the sixth straight month of price increases and the biggest jump since December 2022. But in a surprising twist, monthly house prices actually dipped by 0.2% after a 0.3% rise in July, despite market expectations of a 0.3% increase.

Turning to the euro, inflation in the Eurozone slowed even further in August, according to CPI data from Germany and Spain. This slowdown has led to growing expectations that the European Central Bank might cut interest rates, which is putting pressure on the euro and dragging down the EUR/GBP pair.

Carsten Brzeski, Head of Macroeconomics at ING, called the slowdown in inflation great news for the ECB. He pointed out that the combination of an economic slowdown and decreasing inflation provides the perfect backdrop for rate cuts. However, he also cautioned that inflation in the services sector is still a concern.

Today, it's worth keeping an eye on the Eurozone CPI, as it could offer more clues about the health of the Eurozone economy and create new trading opportunities.

From a technical perspective, the indicators suggest that the path of least resistance for the pair remains downward, with oscillators in negative territory and far from oversold levels.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Trump Threatens Tariffs Again – Markets React

President Donald Trump announced yesterday that he intends to send letters to trade partners within the next one to two weeks outlining unilateral tariff rates. This is ahead

Jakub Novak 09:10 2025-06-12 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 12? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

A significant number of macroeconomic reports are set for Thursday, but only a few are truly important. The key reports to highlight are the GDP and industrial production data from

Paolo Greco 05:52 2025-06-12 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – June 12: Protests Against Trump and Fed Policy

The GBP/USD currency pair continued to trade very calmly on Wednesday. Naturally, when U.S. inflation data was released, we saw a brief burst of market reaction—though it didn't last long

Paolo Greco 04:07 2025-06-12 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – June 12: Is There Light at the End of the Tunnel?

The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade very calmly throughout Wednesday. The market showed no reaction whatsoever to the seemingly positive news regarding U.S.-China trade negotiations. Why? Because that positivity

Paolo Greco 04:07 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Donald Trump Plans to Suppress the Uprising

For several consecutive days, protests and unrest have continued in some major U.S. cities, sparked by Donald Trump's new immigration policy. This time, the U.S. President has decided to deport

Chin Zhao 00:35 2025-06-12 UTC+2

EUR/USD. In the Shadow of the Trade Deal: U.S. Inflation Report Pressures the Greenback

A mixed U.S. inflation report pressured the greenback. The dollar index returned to 98.00, while the EUR/USD pair refreshed its weekly high, rising to 1.1491. Additional pressure on the U.S

Irina Manzenko 00:35 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Will the Dollar Maintain the Status Quo?

To make accurate predictions about the future, one must examine the past. The more than 10% rally in EUR/USD since the beginning of the year has been driven by four

Marek Petkovich 00:35 2025-06-12 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Currently, the price of gold remains confined within a weekly range. The key factors supporting price growth include a decision by the U.S. federal appellate court to uphold President Donald

Irina Yanina 18:35 2025-06-11 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

At this stage, the Japanese yen continues to trade within an intraday consolidation range, approaching the two-week low against the U.S. dollar reached yesterday. The main factors influencing the movement

Irina Yanina 18:33 2025-06-11 UTC+2

EUR/GBP. Analysis and Forecast

However, at this point, it lacks follow-through buying, despite a fundamental backdrop that suggests the path of least resistance for spot prices lies to the upside. The weak performance

Irina Yanina 11:38 2025-06-11 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.