empty
07.04.2022 10:28 PM
Analysts predict strengthening of the Canadian dollar

The Canadian dollar will strengthen in the coming year, analysts interviewed by journalists believe. This version is supported by the fact that the Bank of Canada is potentially aggressively raising interest rates. Nevertheless, growth may be limited by the economy's dependence on the housing market.

Analyst predict strengthening of the Canadian dollar

This image is no longer relevant

The average forecast of the survey showed expectations of a 0.4% increase in the Canadian dollar to 1.25 per US dollar, or 80 US cents, in three months, which is in line with last month's forecast. The growth estimate forecast for the year was $1.23.

If tensions between Russia and Ukraine ease over the next few months, there will be "a reason for a little more risk trading, which would be beneficial for the Canadian dollar," Royce Mendes said, and noted that these same factors will force the Bank of Canada to play a little more aggressively.

The central bank of Canada is expected to raise its overnight interest rate by half a percent at its next policy meeting on April 13, according to median economists' forecasts. They also sharply increased their forecasts of domestic inflation for this year.

Recall that the Bank of Canada has not raised rates by this amount since May 2000. But last month, the central bank raised the rate by a quarter of a percentage point, which it usually prefers, for the first time since October 2018.

Since the Ukrainian crisis has spurred demand for the US dollar-a haven, the Canadian dollar has not benefited as much as usual from rising oil prices. But this may change as the oil market is now being globally restructured.

"I think there is still room for growth as investors digest some of the positive impact of higher commodity prices on the Canadian economy," said Stephen Brown, senior economist for Canada.

Canada is a major energy producer, thanks to which exports reached a record high in February. Economists expect further export growth.

But another key part of the economy, the housing market, has started to lose its momentum.

In addition, this in itself may be an early sign that there are limits to how much the Bank of Canada will be willing to raise rates in the current tightening cycle, at least compared to the Federal Reserve.

"The recovery in Canada is much more dependent on housing investment and housing prices in general, and obviously they are more sensitive to higher interest rates," Brown said, referring to the comparison with US markets.

However, a moderate rise in prices may force some Canadians to purchase real estate as a refuge, as well as in order to reduce rent costs, as well as spur the primary housing construction sector, eventually turning into a positive increase in GDP.

Egor Danilov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Boeing climbs, Best Buy falls as investors rebalance across sectors

Best Buy shares fell after the company cut its full-year sales and earnings forecasts. Boeing, on the other hand, gained ground as its CEO announced plans to ramp up production

13:49 2025-05-30 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 30

The S&P 500 opened the session on a positive note but soon reversed course after officials clarified that previously overturned tariffs would remain in place pending the outcome

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:20 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Boeing Gains, Best Buy Falls: Why Investors Are Betting on Different Assets

Best Buy Falls After Full-Year Sales, Profit Outlook Shrink Boeing Gains as CEO Looks to Boost 737 MAX Production Japan's Nikkei Lagging as Yen Strengthens on Safe Haven Demand Indices

Thomas Frank 10:10 2025-05-30 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 29

Markets reacted to a US Court of International Trade ruling that found the Trump administration's tariff actions exceeded its authority. The decision has introduced fresh uncertainty for the S&P

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:15 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Stock storm: Nvidia soars, Dow falls, court knocks down Trump tariffs

Nvidia shares up 5% after close; co reports quarterly results Dick's Sporting Goods rises after Q1 results beat expectations US trade court blocks Trump tariffs European stocks rise

Thomas Frank 10:49 2025-05-29 UTC+2

From Nvidia to Xiaomi: What's Driving Stock Market Growth and Decline Today

Indices Rising: Dow 1.78%, S&P 500 2.05%, Nasdaq 2.47% Consumer Confidence Recovers in May Temu Parent PDD Holdings Falls on Quarterly Revenue Slip Chinese Xiaomi Shares Set to Rise 2.3%

Thomas Frank 12:06 2025-05-28 UTC+2

Whoever doesn't risk a recession doesn't reduce the national debt? Trader's calendar on May 29–31

To be at the center of global attention and to "shape the planet's destiny" — that's what Donald Trump enjoys most. For him, it's essential to constantly generate headlines

Svetlana Radchenko 11:47 2025-05-28 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 28

The S&P 500 index has broken through the key 5,908 level, signaling the end of its recent correction and opening the door to further upside. A break above the resistance

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:25 2025-05-28 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 27

US President Donald Trump announced a 50% tariff on imports from the EU, yet financial markets responded with restraint. Investors are increasingly adopting a "threat and retreat" strategy, buying stocks

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:54 2025-05-27 UTC+2

Nvidia on the agenda: markets await quarterly report, dollar nears fifth straight monthly decline

Stock markets showed mixed dynamics on Tuesday after Donald Trump unexpectedly postponed the introduction of the promised 50% tariffs on goods from the European Union. The move only increased uncertainty

Thomas Frank 11:31 2025-05-27 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.