empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
14.11.2023 12:10 PM
EUR/USD. November 14th. American inflation could wake the market up
Open trading account Open demo account

The EUR/USD pair continued a weak upward movement towards the level of 1.0714 on Monday. Despite this level being only 25 points above the day's opening level, it still needs to be reached. Today, a rebound from this level will work in favor of the American currency and resume the decline toward the corrective level of 23.6% (1.0644). Consolidating the pair's rate above 1.0714 increases the probability of further growth towards the next Fibonacci level of 38.2%–1.0765.

This image is no longer relevant

The wave situation remains ambiguous. The recent downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, and the recent upward wave did not break the peak of the previous wave. Thus, concluding the dominance of bulls or bears is currently impossible. For over a month, we have observed a movement often called horizontal. Short-term trends consisting of 1–3 waves are formed occasionally, but they do not change the essence of the movement. On higher timeframes, it is seen that the movement is almost horizontal.

This week's news background will not be the strongest, but on Tuesday, several reports could slightly stir the market, which has been dormant for a week. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index has little chance of doing this, but American inflation is much more interesting. Traders expect it to slow down to 3.3%, which will convince the FOMC of the correctness of the chosen path and further reduce the market's confidence in a new tightening of monetary policy. If inflation for October drops below 3.5%, the dollar may come under pressure. However, inflation is less important for traders now, as the Fed needs to send strong signals about being ready to raise interest rates even more. This report has a good chance of causing a market movement, but it may need to be revised.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the pair reversed in favor of the European currency, and a new consolidation occurred above the corrective level of 100.0% (1.0639). A new "bearish" divergence of the CCI indicator favored the US currency, allowing the decline to continue towards 1.0639. Closing the pair's rate below this level will allow us to expect further decline towards the next Fibonacci level of 127.2%–1.0466. No new imminent divergences are observed at this time.

Commitments of Traders (COT) report:

This image is no longer relevant

In the last reporting week, speculators opened 1649 long contracts and closed 2018 short contracts. The sentiment of major traders remains "bullish" but has noticeably weakened in recent weeks and months. The total number of long contracts speculators hold is 212 thousand, and short contracts are 123 thousand. The difference is already less than double, although a few months ago, the gap was threefold. The situation will continue to change in favor of bears. Bulls have dominated the market for too long, and now they need strong news to start a new "bullish" trend. Such a background currently needs to be present. Professional traders may continue to close long positions soon. The current figures allow for continuing the euro's decline in the coming months.

News Calendar for the US and the European Union:

European Union – ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in Germany (10:00 UTC).

European Union – GDP in the third quarter (10:00 UTC).

US – Consumer Price Index (CPI) (13:30 UTC).

On November 14, the economic events calendar contains at least two important entries. The impact of the news background on traders' sentiment on Tuesday may be of moderate strength.

EUR/USD Forecast and Trader Tips:

I do not recommend considering purchasing the pair at this time. There are no signals to buy now, and the movement is horizontal. I advised selling on consolidation below the level of 1.0714, with a target of 1.0644 and below. These trades can be kept open. It is also possible to sell on new rebounds from the level of 1.0714 with the same target.

Samir Klishi,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Fundamental analysis
WTI. West Texas Intermediate. Traders Await NFP Prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil remain in the middle of a three-day range. Prices are supported by hopes for the resumption of trade negotiations between the U.S
Irina Yanina
11:23 2025-06-06 +02:00
1255
Technical analysis
EUR/JPY. Analysis and Forecast The EUR/JPY pair continues to demonstrate stable positive dynamics. Spot prices remain near a three-week high. Factors supporting the rise of EUR/JPY include disappointing data on household spending in Japan
Irina Yanina
11:21 2025-06-06 +02:00
1420
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The EUR/JPY pair continues to demonstrate stable positive dynamics. Spot prices remain near a three-week high. Factors supporting the rise of EUR/JPY include disappointing data on household spending in Japan
Irina Yanina 11:21 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 6, 2025

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement but made two rebounds from the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1454, suggesting a potential reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar
Samir Klishi 11:09 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on June 6, 2025

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday rose to the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620, rebounded from it, and turned in favor of the U.S. dollar. A decline began
Samir Klishi 11:03 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Forex forecast 06/06/2025: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, SP500, Oil, Ethereum and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful
Sebastian Seliga 09:51 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 6, 2025

Yesterday, the ECB as expected cut key rates by a quarter point, bringing the refinancing rate to 2.15%. At the press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that rates have
Laurie Bailey 08:21 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on June 6, 2025

GBP/USD Amid yesterday's brief optimism over the ECB's decision to cut rates and nearly complete the easing cycle, the pound almost reached the target level of 1.3635. Today began neutrally
Laurie Bailey 08:17 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Forecast for USD/JPY on June 6, 2025

As of this morning, the USD/JPY pair has found itself in a completely dual situation, with an equal likelihood of both growth and decline. Indicators suggesting growth include the price
Laurie Bailey 08:13 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for June 6-10, 2025: buy above 1.1080 (200 EMA - 6/8 Murray)

The eagle indicator is showing a negative signal, so we believe that if the euro falls below the 6/8 Murray level in the coming hours, it will be seen
Dimitrios Zappas 07:04 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for June 6-10, 2025: buy above $3,365 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

On the other hand, gold is expected to undergo a technical correction. On May 30, it left a gap around 3,284, and if it consolidates below 3,350, it could likely
Dimitrios Zappas 07:01 2025-06-06 UTC+2

NZD/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Today the NZD/USD pair continues to attract buyers, though it still remains below the 0.6050 level. Oscillators across all timeframes are firmly in positive territory and far from overbought zones
Irina Yanina 12:03 2025-06-05 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 23:00 2025-06-06 UTC--5
Forecast for EUR/USD on June 6, 2025
08:21 2025-06-06
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 13:00 UTC--5
The EU Economy Will Not Suffer, According to Lagarde
02:56 2025-06-06
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 22:00 2025-06-06 UTC--5
Forecast for GBP/USD on June 6, 2025
08:17 2025-06-06
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 22:00 2025-06-06 UTC--5
Forecast for USD/JPY on June 6, 2025
08:13 2025-06-06
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 19:00 2025-06-06 UTC--5
Overview for the GBP/USD pair on June 6, 2025
05:47 2025-06-06
Fundamental analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.