empty
18.07.2019 05:10 PM
What will the Fed do and why the Australian dollar is growing

This image is no longer relevant

The dollar is falling steadily against the basket of major currencies on the second day against the background of weak data on US Treasury bonds and the housing sector. Now, investors are likely to estimate the Fed's interest rate cut for the first time in a decade. Expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut dominate the money markets, and some investors forecast a 50 basis point cut. It is expected that by the end of the year the Fed will cut a total of almost 75 basis points.

"We certainly see that both from the Fed and the ECB, there are more specific signals regarding policy easing, the question is how much the Fed will cut the rate next week," – Commerzbank said. Morgan Stanley notes that the overall outlook for risky assets remains bearish due to disappointing earnings reports in the US and weak prospects for world trade. "All this gives good reasons for the fact that the Fed will consider the possibility of reducing the rate by 50 b.p. at the end of this month," the note to customers said, adding that a 50-point reduction would sharply weaken the dollar, especially against high-yield currencies.

Despite rising expectations of lower interest rates in the US, the euro is stuck in a narrow trading range around $ 1.12, while investors expect the ECB to go for the Fed. Currently, the probability of a rate cut of 10 basis points next week is 50%. The weakness of the dollar pushed other currencies.

This image is no longer relevant

The Australian dollar led the growth thanks to a positive report on jobs. Unemployment remained stable at 5.2% for the third month in a row. The Australian dollar rose 0.3% to 0.7031 dollars. At the same time, the rate of part-time employment in June fell from 8.6% to 8.2%. The underemployment rate has a higher correlation with interest rate and wages than the unemployment rate, and is likely to push the Australian even higher.

Irina Maksimova,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran Amerika Syarikat untuk 13 Jun

Walaupun lonjakan S&P 500 yang berterusan, para pelabur tetap berminat dalam saham, sebahagian besarnya mengabaikan risiko yang semakin meningkat dan ketidakstabilan dalam ekonomi global. Keyakinan ini didorong oleh harapan pertumbuhan

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:29 2025-06-13 UTC+2

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran AS untuk 12 Jun: Pasaran Saham AS Ditutup Lebih Rendah Berikutan Perkembangan Perjanjian Perdagangan AS-China

Pasaran saham Amerika Syarikat menamatkan sesi dagangan dengan penurunan selepas Amerika Syarikat dan China memuktamadkan perjanjian perdagangan yang telah lama dinantikan. Walaupun latar belakang berita tersebut bersifat positif, para pelabur

Ekaterina Kiseleva 16:31 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Robinhood terkeluar dari S&P 500 — kesan domino melanda pasaran global

Saham Robinhood jatuh selepas platform dagangan tersebut dikecualikan dari S&P 500. Saham Warner Bros. merosot selepas syarikat itu mengumumkan perancangan untuk menyusun semula perniagaannya. Saham-saham Eropah menurun apabila UBS jatuh

14:54 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Kontras Harian: Nikkei Meningkat, EUR Menyusut, Pasaran Global Menahan Nafas Menjelang Rundingan AS-China

J.M. Smucker menurun. Bank Dunia mengurangkan unjuran pertumbuhan global bagi tahun 2025. Nikkei meningkat, manakala niaga hadapan Wall Street dan euro melemah. Dolar menunjukkan sedikit pergerakan, manakala pasaran bon kekal

14:31 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Rangkuman Berita Pasaran Amerika Syarikat untuk 11 Jun

Pasaran saham Amerika Syarikat telah mencapai paras unjuran dan kini memasuki "fasa peninjauan yang tenang" sementara para pelabur menantikan pelepasan data inflasi utama. Data yang bakal dikeluarkan ini berkemungkinan menentukan

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:57 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Arus Silang Hari Ini: Nikkei Meningkat, Euro Menurun, Pasaran Global Bersiap Sedia untuk Rundingan Amerika Syarikat-China

J.M. Smucker merosot selepas unjuran pesimis Bank Dunia menurunkan unjuran pertumbuhan global bagi 2025 Nikkei meningkat, niaga hadapan Wall Street dan euro menurun Dolar hampir tidak berubah, bon menanti data

Thomas Frank 07:48 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran Amerika Syarikat untuk 10 Jun

Indeks S&P 500 dan Nasdaq 100 mencatatkan kenaikan yang ketara, didorong oleh jangkaan positif menjelang rundingan perdagangan Amerika Syarikat-China yang akan datang. Para pelabur bertaruh pada kemungkinan pengurangan tarif, yang

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:52 2025-06-10 UTC+2

Robinhood Jatuh Dari S&P 500 — Kesan Domino Menimpa Pasaran Keseluruhan

Robinhood Jatuh Setelah Platform Dibuang Dari S&P 500 Warner Bros. Saham Jatuh Setelah Syarikat Mengatakan Rancangan Untuk Mengasingkan Perniagaan Saham Eropah Jatuh Berikutan Penurunan UBS, Perbincangan Perdagangan AS-Cina Menunggu McDonald's

Thomas Frank 12:49 2025-06-10 UTC+2

Kadar Faedah Meningkat Sambil Pasaran Menantikan Data CPI, Pertelingkahan Trump–Musk, dan Qualcomm Mengambil Alih Alphawave

Laporan CPI bagi bulan Mei dijadualkan pada hari Rabu Rang undang-undang belanjawan menjadi tumpuan di tengah pertelingkahan antara Trump dan Musk Saham Alphawave melonjak susulan rancangan pengambilalihan oleh Qualcomm Saham

Thomas Frank 11:49 2025-06-09 UTC+2

Pertembungan Gergasi: Musk lawan Trump ketika Pelabur Mengira Kerugian

Dow -0.25%, S&P 500 -0.53%, Nasdaq -0.83% Tesla Jatuh ketika Perselisihan Terbuka Trump-Musk Semakin Memuncak Tuntutan Pengangguran Awal Meningkat untuk Minggu Kedua Berturut-turut Saham Adidas, Puma Jatuh Selepas Lululemon Memotong

Thomas Frank 11:45 2025-06-06 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.