Analisis Forex & Kajian: 10.10.2022 - US premarket on October 10:...

10.10.2022 02:59 PM

US premarket on October 10: the American stock market is in the next step from updating the annual minimum

The pressure on US stock indices remains. S&P500 futures are trading in the red after a major sell-off observed last Friday due to growing concerns about further tightening of the central bank's policy, which is sure to affect the global economy and company earnings. Futures contracts for the Nasdaq 100 index fell 0.3% under pressure from the semiconductor sector after Washington further took measures to restrict China's access to American technologies. The industrial Dow Jones fell 0.1%.

The overall mood remains gloomy ahead of the US inflation data expected this Thursday. The higher-than-expected figures will complement the strong employment data from last week, putting pressure on politicians, who will probably go for a new 75 basis point rate hike at the next meeting.

The dangerous escalation of relations between Russia and Ukraine also undermines the appetite for risk, which will continue to support the US dollar. In addition, the actions of the British authorities aimed at supporting calmness in the markets are beginning to weaken, which may harm the pound in the near future, which has recently recovered against the US dollar.

Premarket

Shares of Ford and General Motors collapsed after UBS downgraded the ratings of both automakers to "sell" from "neutral." UBS said that the automotive industry is rapidly moving towards an oversupply of cars after three years of unprecedented pricing policy. In the premarket, Ford shares fell 3.6%, while GM shares sank 3.5%.

Rivian shares fell 9% in premarket trading after the company recalled almost all of its vehicles to fix potential steering problems. The manufacturer of electric cars and trucks said that no injuries were reported due to the problem.

Tesla securities are trading quite volatile on the news that the company delivered more than 83,000 vehicles from its Shanghai factory last month, which is 8% more than in August.

Kraft Heinz shares rose 2% in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs upgraded the food manufacturer's stock rating to "buy" from "neutral." Goldman said that Kraft Heinz is one of the few consumer goods companies where the prospect of higher profits has not yet been fully factored into the price.

Procter & Gamble fell 1.3% in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs downgraded the consumer goods giant's stock rating to "neutral" from "buy."

As for the technical picture of the S&P500, the market decided not to take a break after Friday's decline and continued to fall. Trading below $3,645 creates difficulties for the recovery of the trading instrument. Moreover, the bulls will be counting on a dash to $3,645. But only a breakdown of this level will return the trend to an upward correction. The breakdown of $3,645 will support a new upward momentum, already aimed at the resistance of $3,677. The furthest target will be in the area of $3,706. In case of further downward movement, the bulls will declare themselves in the area of $3,610, as it was already today. However, a breakdown of this range will quickly push the trading instrument to $3,579 and $3,544, as well as open up the possibility of updating support and $3,507 – a new annual minimum for the index.

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Stock Markets

Jakub Novak,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
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