empty
29.11.2022 01:44 PM
Bitcoin: the threat of the second wave of miners' capitulation

The price of the main cryptocurrency rose, returning the losses of the previous trading day. However, this does not change the technical picture, in which the main cryptocurrency is consolidating within the bear flag canvas, which technically leaves the prerequisites for an even greater decline.

This image is no longer relevant

In the last 24 hours, the Bitcoin trading volume is $25,195,723,296. The market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market is $834.81 billion, which is 2.01% more than yesterday.

The news that crypto-lending platform BlockFi has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy may have had some impact.

Notably, BlockFi, a cryptocurrency lender, filed for bankruptcy protection on Monday, just days after suspending withdrawals following FTX's bankruptcy filing.

According to the bankruptcy filing, its significant exposure to FTX caused a liquidity crunch. FTX, founded by Sam Bankman-Fried, filed for bankruptcy in the US earlier this month after traders withdrew $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance pulled out of a rescue deal.

The second wave of Bitcoin miner capitulation

In addition to the bankruptcy of BlockFi, other important events are taking place. The collapse of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange caused a historic event in the bitcoin market.

Yesterday, on-chain data signaled the second wave of bitcoin miners capitulation in one cycle.

Bitcoin miner capitulation is a scenario that occurs when the price of the main cryptocurrency falls and it becomes difficult for some miners to hold BTC profitably. As a result, they are forced to sell and leave the network.

Historically, miners have had a huge impact on the BTC price. The announced capitulation of miners will put additional pressure on the price of the main cryptocurrency, which is experiencing a historically bad November, falling by 21%.

Bitcoin miners under water

The bitcoin hash rate is starting to change here. The 7-day moving average hash rate is now 13.7% below its all-time high.

Mining difficulty is expected to adjust by around -9% within a week, which will ease the burden on miners, at least in the short term.

Nevertheless, miners margins have been and continue to be declining strongly since June, when the first capitulation in this cycle occurred. Despite this, the hash rate still rose to an all-time high until recently.

This, the increased difficulty of mining, and the price drop associated with FTX have caused the hash price to reach its lowest level since late 2020.

By changing the net position of Bitcoin miners, it is clear that they have been aggressively selling coins over the past month.

"Combined with the decline in the hash rate and today's hash band bear cross, this suggests that we are indeed in a phase of miner capitulation," said Will Clemente of Reflexivity Research.

How long will the capitulation last?

Keep in mind that the capitulation of miners is usually the last stage of a bitcoin bear market. In the 2018 cycle, the BTC hashrate continued to rise as the price reached the $6,000 mark until the final miner capitulation reached $3,000.

In the current cycle, miners have already been capitulated in June. They have reduced their holdings by 4,000 BTC over the past two weeks, equivalent to approximately $68 million.

Prior to that, they had just started a net accumulation trend in September 2022, betting that the bottom had been reached. However, they bet on the wrong horse and now face dire consequences.

Historically, miner capitulation has lasted an average of 48 days, which would end miner pressure by mid-January 2023.

However, the most recent capitulation ended only two months later, on August 18. The end was the third longest capitulation in history. Therefore, Bitcoin bulls should be careful in December and January and watch the behavior of the miners.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Intraday Matawang Kripto Doge, Jumaat 23 Mei 2025.

Pergerakan harga mata wang kripto Doge pada carta 4 jam menunjukkan bahawa ia sedang bergerak di atas WMA (21) yang mempunyai cerun menaik, manakala penunjuk Pengayun Stochastic pula bersedia untuk

Arief Makmur 09:04 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Harian Matawang Kripto Ripple, Jumaat 23 Mei, 2025.

Jika kita melihat carta 4-jam bagi mata wang kripto Ripple, ia kelihatan bergerak di atas WMA (21) yang mempunyai cerun curam dan berjaya menembusi Tahap Nilai Tinggi (kuning) dan kemudian

Arief Makmur 09:04 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Ramalan Bitcoin untuk 23 Mei 2025

Pada hari Khamis, harga Bitcoin telah mencapai paras sasaran 111,770. Pengayun Marlin kelihatan tertinggal di belakang pergerakan harga, memberikan gambaran kemungkinan berlaku perbezaan arah (divergence) — walaupun dalam bentuk yang

Laurie Bailey 04:45 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Bitcoin menyasarkan paras $120,000? Apakah yang mendorong kenaikan ini dan bilakah pembetulan harga dijangka berlaku

Pada 22 Mei, Bitcoin dengan yakin berjaya melepasi tahap $111,888, mencatat rekod tertinggi baharu pada $111,867. Tidak seperti kenaikan sebelum ini yang dicirikan oleh kegembiraan pelabur runcit, kali ini tingkah

Ekaterina Kiseleva 16:12 2025-05-22 UTC+2

Bitcoin meneruskan kenaikan dengan yakin

Tuntutan terhadap Bitcoin nampaknya semakin meningkat, berdasarkan prestasi terkininya. Pada masa penerbitan, pasangan BTC/USD didagangkan berhampiran 111,200.00, sedikit menurun daripada paras tertinggi hari ini dan sepanjang masa iaitu 111,865.00. Secara

Jurij Tolin 16:02 2025-05-22 UTC+2

Bitcoin: $115,000 — Destinasi Seterusnya atau Perangkap Kenaikan?

Bitcoin secara beransur-ansur menghampiri paras tertinggi sepanjang masanya dan, menurut beberapa penganalisis, bersedia untuk mencipta rekod baru. Paras semasa sekitar $105,000 adalah lebih daripada sekadar angka ia menandakan bahawa aset

Ekaterina Kiseleva 00:58 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Analisis BTC/USD pada 20 Mei, 2025

Corak gelombang pada carta 4 jam untuk BTC/USD telah menjadi lebih kompleks dalam beberapa bulan terakhir. Kami telah menyaksikan struktur menurun pembetulan, yang menamatkan pembentukannya di sekitar tahap 75,000

Chin Zhao 11:11 2025-05-20 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Harian Matawang Kripto Ethereum, Jumaat 16 Mei 2025.

Jika kita melihat carta 4 jam, mata wang kripto Ethereum kelihatan bergerak di atas WMA (21) yang bertindak sebagai sokongan dinamik, di mana cerun WMA tersebut sedang menaik. Berdasarkan maklumat

Arief Makmur 06:09 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Harian Kriptowang Uniswap, Jumaat 16 Mei 2025.

Pada carta 4 jam, mata wang kripto Uniswap kelihatan mempunyai corak Descending Broadening Wedge, jadi walaupun pergerakan harga Uniswap berada di bawah WMA (21) yang mempunyai kecenderungan menurun, dengan kemunculan

Arief Makmur 06:09 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Cadangan Dagangan untuk Pasaran Kriptowang pada 9 Mei

Bitcoin telah melepasi $100,000, manakala Ethereum sedang cuba untuk mengukuh di atas $2,000. Selepas kenaikan mendadak semalam, yang berterusan semasa sesi Asia hari ini, Bitcoin kini didagangkan pada $103,000, setelah

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:46 2025-05-09 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.