empty
15.05.2023 10:43 AM
Bitcoin tests $25.5k level and is at crossroads

The previous trading week turned out to be bearish for Bitcoin. The asset was declining within the local downward trend to the $27k level. Subsequently, the correction was exacerbated due to a spike in volatility, and the asset continued to decline to $26k.

This image is no longer relevant

By the end of Friday, the Bitcoin price managed to test the local low near the $25.5k level. It is in this range that large volumes of liquidity, formed by investors during the price consolidation above $26k, are located. However, we did not see a strong reaction from buyers over the weekend, indicating the likelihood of further decline.

Will Bitcoin go even lower?

Bitcoin has been in a correction phase for over a week, and during this period, the asset has achieved the main correction targets. The BTC price managed to reach the $25.5k level, but we only saw a reaction from buyers on Monday when the price managed to recover above $27k.

This image is no longer relevant

This recovery growth can be called a "dead cat bounce," as the buyers' positions have clearly weakened. It is not expected that the pullback after the correction could be strong enough to reverse the trend, as trading volumes remain low and market sentiment is pessimistic.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, it should be noted that Bitcoin has fully implemented the "head and shoulders" pattern, which indicated a trend reversal. The cryptocurrency price has reached the ultimate potential of this pattern, and the long lower wick of the last candle indicates a local profit taking.

Bitcoin at a crossroads

Despite the realization of the final potential of the "head and shoulders" technical analysis pattern, as well as the local upward pullback of the BTC price, we cannot state the completion of the corrective movement. The $25k–$25.5k level is the basis of the upward trend, which allowed BTC to reach the $31k level, and its breakdown will lead to the destruction of the structure of the upward trend.

This image is no longer relevant

Given that the bulls did not play back the $25.5k test, and the price managed to trade near the $26.5k level for a while, we should consider the probability of exacerbating the downward trend. In other words, the weakness of the buyers puts Bitcoin at a crossroads, where one of the movement options is the destruction of the structure of the upward trend.

Bearish scenario

The bearish scenario for Bitcoin would be a local consolidation near $27.5k, followed by a further plunge towards the $25k–$25.5k range. In this scenario, BTC/USD has the potential to make a bearish breakdown at the $25k level and start moving towards $24k. As it has become clear, no strong buyer is found below $26k, and therefore, the price can be pressured further.

This image is no longer relevant

The local support level for the Bitcoin price on the way to $24k could be the $24,650 mark. This is where the local accumulation stage took place, so there is a chance for an attempt to buy back the price and start a recovery movement. However, if this mark is broken and further decline to $24k, the structure of the upward trend is completely broken, and the key target for the correction becomes the $20k level.

Bullish scenario

In the bullish scenario, after local consolidation, Bitcoin manages to defend the $26k level during subsequent attempts at bearish pressure. The key target for buyers at this stage is to maintain the structure of the upward trend. To do this, it is necessary to protect the $25k level and restore the cryptocurrency price above the $28k mark.

This image is no longer relevant

However, as of 08:00 UTC on Monday, the probability of a bearish scenario is higher. There is no strong buyer in the market, and the local positive of technical indicators is negated by the sharp downward peak of the MACD and bearish sentiment. The situation may change with the opening of the U.S. markets, but at the moment, there is a total dominance of bears in the BTC market.

Artem Petrenko,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Recomendações de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 1º de julho

O Bitcoin não conseguiu manter o nível de US$ 108.000, caindo em uma zona mais aceitável em torno de US$ 107.000. O Ethereum também mostrou fraqueza no final

Miroslaw Bawulski 14:41 2025-07-01 UTC+2

Recomendações de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 30 de junho

O Bitcoin e o Ethereum continuaram a crescer durante o fim de semana, indicando uma demanda estável, mesmo com a principal criptomoeda se aproximando de seus máximos históricos. Enquanto todos

Miroslaw Bawulski 18:24 2025-06-30 UTC+2

Dicas de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 27 de junho (sessão norte-americana)

O Bitcoin fez outra tentativa de retornar ao nível de US$ 108.000, mas não conseguiu mantê-lo e corrigiu para baixo, caindo abaixo da marca de US$ 107.000, um movimento

Miroslaw Bawulski 18:07 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Recomendações de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 27 de junho

O Bitcoin e o Ethereum interromperam seu movimento de alta após os dados fundamentais fracos de ontem, indicando uma desaceleração no crescimento da economia dos EUA. Mas esse

Miroslaw Bawulski 17:56 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Outra grande empresa anuncia um aumento de US$ 1 bilhão para comprar Bitcoin

O mercado de criptomoedas está demonstrando forte confiança. Dada a sua correlação com o mercado de ações dos EUA - onde os máximos históricos estão sendo atualizados - há espaço

Jakub Novak 16:09 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Recomendações de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 26 de junho

Bitcoin e Ethereum estão demonstrando um crescimento estável em meio a novas previsões sobre o número de cortes nas taxas de juros esperados pela Reserva Federal este ano. Outra postura

Miroslaw Bawulski 16:11 2025-06-26 UTC+2

Recomendações de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 25 de junho

Bitcoin and Ethereum continued their rally yesterday, triggered by news of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's dovish tone during his testimony in the House

Miroslaw Bawulski 17:58 2025-06-25 UTC+2

Análise BTC/USD em 25 de junho de 2025

O padrão de ondas no gráfico de 4 horas do BTC/USD permanece, em geral, claro. Observa-se uma formação corretiva descendente que se completou próxima ao nível de US$ 75.000

Chin Zhao 17:42 2025-06-25 UTC+2

BTC/USD está tentando atingir o nível de 106.000. Terça-feira, 24 de junho de 2025

1. Resumo do sentimento do mercado Quando ontem o presidente Trump abrandou a sua agressividade contra o Irã, as tensões geopolíticas mundiais atuais diminuíram, levando vários agentes do mercado

Arief Makmur 15:22 2025-06-25 UTC+2

Bitcoin visa crescimento contínuo

Ontem, o Bitcoin continuou sua trajetória ascendente, impulsionado pelo tom visivelmente mais brando do presidente do Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, em relação ao futuro das taxas de juros. Suas observações

Jakub Novak 14:38 2025-06-25 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.